https://kqbd.one khong chi la nhung pha bong dep mat, nhung ban thang nghet tho hay nhung khoanh khac an mung day cam xuc; do con la mot vu tru phuc tap cua du lieu, mot me cung cua nhung con so biet noi. Doi voi nhung nguoi dam me thuc su, viec theo doi ket qua bong da don thuan thoi la chua du. Chung ta can di sau hon, mo xe tung chi so thong ke de hieu ro hon ban chat thuc su cua cuoc chien tren san co. Thong ke tran dau chinh la lang kinh giup ta nhin thau chien thuat, danh gia hieu suat va du doan tuong lai.





Trong the gioi ca cuoc the thao hay phan tich chuyen mon, thong ke la xuong song. Nhung ngay ca voi nguoi ham mo binh thuong, viec nam vung cac chi so nay cung lam tang them dang ke su hap dan va chieu sau cho trai nghiem xem bong da. Hay cung kham pha nhung thanh phan cot loi tao nen buc tranh toan canh ve bat ky tran dau nao.





Tu Ty So Den Chieu Sau Chien Thuat: Cac Chi So Co Ban





Moi phan tich deu bat dau tu nhung du lieu hien nhien nhat, nhung ngay ca nhung con so co ban nay cung an chua nhieu y nghia sau sac. Ket qua bong da cuoi cung la quan trong nhat, nhung de dat duoc ket qua do, doi bong da lam gi?





Dau tien la ty le kiem soat bong. Mot doi kiem soat bong ap dao (vi du 65%) thuong duoc coi la doi manh hon ve mat ky thuat hoac ap dung chien thuat giu nhip. Tuy nhien, thong ke kiem soat bong luon can duoc doi chieu voi hieu qua. Mot doi kiem soat 70% ma khong tao ra duoc co hoi nguy hiem nao thi kiem soat bong chi la mot hanh dong vo nghia, mot kieu "kiem soat bong an toan" o phan san nha.





Tiep theo la so luong cu sut. Quan trong hon ca so luong la so cu sut trung dich. Day la thuoc do truc tiep cho su chinh xac cua hang cong va kha nang buoc thu mon doi phuong phai lam viec. Mot doi co 15 cu sut nhung chi 2 trung dich cho thay su lang phi co hoi. Nguoc lai, doi co 5 cu sut trung dich va ghi duoc 3 ban cho thay hieu suat chuyen hoa co hoi gan nhu tuyet doi.





Phan Tich Khu Vuc Tan Cong: XG – Buoc Tien Vuot Bac





Trong ky nguyen phan tich du lieu hien dai, chi so duoc nhac den nhieu nhat chinh la Ban thang ky vong (Expected Goals – xG). xG la mot cong cu thong ke manh me giup khach quan hoa chat luong cua mot co hoi ghi ban, doc lap voi viec ban thang do co duoc ghi hay khong.





Moi cu sut duoc gan mot xac suat tro thanh ban thang dua tren cac yeu to nhu vi tri sut, goc sut, loai duong kien tao, va so luong hau ve can pha. Neu mot doi tao ra xG la 2.5 trong ca tran dau, dieu do co nghia la ve mat ly thuyet, ho nen ghi duoc khoang 2 den 3 ban thang dua tren chat luong co hoi tao ra. Khi ket qua bong da thuc te khac xa voi xG (vi du: thang 1-0 nhung xG la 3.0), dieu do chi ra rang doi chien thang co the da gap van may hoac doi thu da phong ngu cuc ky xuat sac trong cac tinh huong quan trong. Nguoc lai, neu mot doi thang 1-0 voi xG chi la 0.2, do la mot chien thang may man va ho co nguy co cao se gap kho khan trong cac tran tiep theo.





Thong Ke Phong Ngu: Khong Chi La Tackles





Phong ngu khong chi la nhung pha tac bong (tackles). Mot doi phong ngu tot co the co so lan tac bong thap hon vi ho da ngan chan duoc cac dot tan cong truoc khi chung tro nen nguy hiem.





Cac chi so quan trong hon bao gom:





1. So lan danh chan (Interceptions): Cho thay kha nang doc tran dau va cat dut duong chuyen cua doi phuong.



2. So lan pha bong (Clearances): Mac du doi khi la dau hieu cua viec bi ep san, nhung no cung the hien su quyet doan cua hang thu khi doi mat voi cac pha bong bong hoac cang ngang nguy hiem.



3. So lan pham loi va the phat: Muc do ky luat cua doi bong. Mot doi pham qua nhieu loi gan vong cam co nguy co cao bi trung phat boi nhung qua da phat truc tiep hoac penalty.





Phan tich cac chi so phong ngu nay ket hop voi xG cua doi phuong (xGA – Expected Goals Against) se cho ta cai nhin toan dien hon ve kha nang giu sach luoi.





Tac Dong Cua Thong Ke Den Trai Nghiem Nguoi Ham Mo





Viec hieu ro cac thong ke nay bien viec xem bong da tu mot hoat dong thu dong thanh mot trai nghiem chu dong va sau sac hon. Khi ban nhin thay doi bong minh yeu thich kiem soat bong nhieu nhung lai thua vi doi thu co xG cao hon, ban se hieu ngay rang van de nam o chat luong dut diem chu khong phai o viec giu bong.





Khi phan tich ket qua bong da, hay luon dat cau hoi: Dieu gi da dan den ket qua nay? Lieu chien thang do co ben vung? Lieu that bai do co phai la ket qua cua su kem may man hay la su sup do ve mat chien thuat? Nhung con so thong ke khong bao gio noi doi; chung cung cap bang chung khach quan cho nhung cam xuc ma chung ta chung kien tren san. Bang cach lam chu cac thuat ngu va chi so nay, ban khong chi la nguoi xem ma con la mot nha phan tich thuc thu, lam phong phu them tinh yeu danh cho mon the thao vua. Xem them: Keo vua pha luoi, Bai viet lien quan:





https://www.cemkrete.com/forum/topic/112586/kqbd



https://www.jk-green.com/forum/topic/73516/kqbd



https://www.nongkhaempolice.com/forum/topic/64393/kqbd